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Post by resinhead on Oct 22, 2024 19:48:41 GMT -5
biminitwisted Avatar Oct 22, 2024 20:45:51 GMT -4 biminitwisted said: resinhead Avatar Oct 22, 2024 20:42:06 GMT -4 resinhead said: No problem. Will never happen. I guess you'll have to count on old Sleepy's sanity, and warmth for Trump, because there is nothing legally stopping him from doing most anything he wants.
Keep grasping. Very entertaining.
You thinking he’ll nuke Trump Tower in NY or maybe send in seal team 6 and take the family out at Thanksgiving dinner in Florida?
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Post by biminitwisted on Oct 22, 2024 19:51:05 GMT -5
Keep grasping. Very entertaining. You thinking he’ll nuke Trump Tower in NY or maybe send in seal team 6 and take the family out at Thanksgiving dinner in Florida? No, it will be more subtle than that, may even be top secret and undisclosed, but the result will be the same. All perfectly constitutional, of course. It's settled law, after all.
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Post by biminitwisted on Oct 22, 2024 19:52:43 GMT -5
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Post by resinhead on Oct 22, 2024 19:55:12 GMT -5
Keep grasping. Very entertaining. You thinking he’ll nuke Trump Tower in NY or maybe send in seal team 6 and take the family out at Thanksgiving dinner in Florida? No, it will be more subtle than that, may even be top secret and undisclosed, but the result will be the same. All perfectly constitutional, of course. It's settled law, after all. Ok. So you’re good with eliminating the leading candidate of an election. Good luck buddy.
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Post by biminitwisted on Oct 22, 2024 19:55:49 GMT -5
No, it will be more subtle than that, may even be top secret and undisclosed, but the result will be the same. All perfectly constitutional, of course. It's settled law, after all. Ok. So you’re good with eliminating the leading candidate of an election. Good luck buddy. Take it up with Robert's court. It's settled law.
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Post by biminitwisted on Oct 22, 2024 19:56:40 GMT -5
It's almost as if MAGA dipshits never think their dumbfukery through.
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Post by resinhead on Oct 22, 2024 19:59:34 GMT -5
I’m not on the SCOTUS so…
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Post by biminitwisted on Oct 22, 2024 20:02:31 GMT -5
I’m not on the SCOTUS so… Oh, SCROTUM, my mistake.
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Post by tonyroma on Oct 22, 2024 21:28:28 GMT -5
I actually follow RealClear and FiveThirtyEight and look for the trends among the same pollsters that have been doing this awhile and ignoring the R and D Leaning polls as much as possible. The Hill's analysis of current pollings seem to reflect the current trends and I think is a good site for analysis. I do watch Bovada as a pure betting website to see what the betters think. Polymarkets and Kalshi are bet trading sites and looking at the past elections, they have a lot of movement in the final weeks as traders try to buy and sell at a profit rather than wait to see the outcome. I think a lot of people short their bets as the odds change to make a profit and aren't in it to win the bet or even care who wins. It's about predicting where the market will go, nto where it will settle. All that said, and Bimini hates hearing this as I have said it several times already, it appears Trump is going to win this election.I disagree. I predict Kamala will win. Thats interesting.
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Post by biminitwisted on Oct 22, 2024 21:40:50 GMT -5
I disagree. I predict Kamala will win. Thats interesting. Look at it this way. If Trump wins then all those Republicans waiting in the wings, like DeSantis and especially Kemp are shit out of luck for eight years. They aren’t going to let that happen. They’re all in for 2026 and 2028, and they are not going to wait.
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Post by walkerdog on Oct 22, 2024 21:40:55 GMT -5
Keep grasping. Very entertaining. You thinking he’ll nuke Trump Tower in NY or maybe send in seal team 6 and take the family out at Thanksgiving dinner in Florida? No, it will be more subtle than that, may even be top secret and undisclosed, but the result will be the same. All perfectly constitutional, of course. It's settled law, after all. Still beating that worn out old drum, I see! Are you ready to accept a bet on your prediction coming true yet or are you still just FOS?
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Post by cadman on Oct 23, 2024 5:50:22 GMT -5
I actually follow RealClear and FiveThirtyEight and look for the trends among the same pollsters that have been doing this awhile and ignoring the R and D Leaning polls as much as possible. The Hill's analysis of current pollings seem to reflect the current trends and I think is a good site for analysis. I do watch Bovada as a pure betting website to see what the betters think. Polymarkets and Kalshi are bet trading sites and looking at the past elections, they have a lot of movement in the final weeks as traders try to buy and sell at a profit rather than wait to see the outcome. I think a lot of people short their bets as the odds change to make a profit and aren't in it to win the bet or even care who wins. It's about predicting where the market will go, nto where it will settle. All that said, and Bimini hates hearing this as I have said it several times already, it appears Trump is going to win this election.I disagree. I predict Kamala will win. You have about a 45% chance of being correct. We are all guessing with this election. It is going to be close no matter who wins
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Post by resinhead on Oct 23, 2024 6:14:27 GMT -5
Look at it this way. If Trump wins then all those Republicans waiting in the wings, like DeSantis and especially Kemp are shit out of luck for eight years. They aren’t going to let that happen. They’re all in for 2026 and 2028, and they are not going to wait. Trump already had one term. We’d love 8 more years but only 4 more for him. You’re coming around nicely.
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Post by resinhead on Oct 23, 2024 6:14:54 GMT -5
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Post by OhMy on Oct 23, 2024 7:20:04 GMT -5
I disagree. I predict Kamala will win. Thats interesting. That's
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Post by cadman on Oct 23, 2024 8:28:47 GMT -5
Did Tarp steal your login?
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Post by nikonoclast on Oct 23, 2024 8:56:06 GMT -5
The pollsters all have their own slant.
They compensate, in different ways, for a lack of response from the public.
Every method has significant issues, and "who pays the piper" is number one on the list.
How many of you look forward to phone calls from strangers, asking about your politics?
( Once you're "on the list" you'll be flooded with calls and mailings for the rest of your life. )
The only subset measured by pre-election polls is that tiny fraction that's willing to participate.
Exit polls, on the other hand, have a much better accuracy record.
There's real-time human contact, backed up with decades of statistics.
That being said, barring a surprise, we probably won't have a "winner" for a few days.
The big losers, of course, will be the Palestinians and Lebanese.
Your taxes will be used to commit war-crimes for the foreseeable future.
How many of you have read the first-person accounts of Israeli soldiers in Gaza?
The NY Times reported these details recently:
Palestinian dead and wounded were heaped into piles and run over with bulldozers.
The drivers are haunted by the crunching sound, and the sight of mush squishing out.
They dug the mass graves before the bombings ... .
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Post by resinhead on Oct 24, 2024 7:44:53 GMT -5
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Post by JS84 on Oct 24, 2024 7:49:07 GMT -5
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Post by chronicbreak on Oct 24, 2024 9:25:22 GMT -5
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