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Post by olmucky on Jun 21, 2024 5:10:24 GMT -5
Couple thoughts.
They say “this year will be more active than average” It seems to happen every year b4 the season Maybe the average needs to be adjusted.
Second thing. We have crazy good sattelite images and what not. We spot waves td, ts, and hurricanes in the s Atlantic Most drift off to nowhere’s. Many get named and never come near land. Without getting political, couldn’t todays same activity have been happening in the 1400, 1500, 1600’s etc?
We truly woildnt know even up to say the 1940’s or later.
Just wondering
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Post by mackeralsnatcher on Jun 21, 2024 5:51:17 GMT -5
Every year we hear the same thing. "more active"
I'm kinda on the fence. yea it's good to be prepared BUT it seems like they overplay it. It still cracks me up when i see people tape up their windows
I went thru a bad one back in '79 so now My plan is to get the fuck out of dodge if something is coming my way.
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Post by ferris1248 on Jun 21, 2024 5:56:04 GMT -5
Every year we hear the same thing. "more active" I'm kinda on the fence. yea it's good to be prepared BUT it seems like they overplay it. It still cracks me up when i see people tape up their windows I went thru a bad one back in '79 so now My plan is to get the fuck out of dodge if something is coming my way. That's a good plan.
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Post by illinoisfisherman on Jun 21, 2024 6:21:22 GMT -5
They are scary no matter what!
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Post by cadman on Jun 21, 2024 7:24:49 GMT -5
We have been tracking hurricanes since the 1850s or so, not very reliable, but a record of the number to a degree. Satellites have been used since the mid 1960s.
I know the late 50 and 60s were fairly active and I would guess there were periods before we tracked them that were likely active. Assuming we probably did not count some that formed in the ocean and lasted a few days back in the 50s and 60s, as we do today, some of those years may have been more active than 2020, which is the most active on record.
Another issue with the old data is that various record keepers do not agree. If you look up the old years and hurricanes, you will find one source claims one number and another source claims another. So there is no reliable way to know much before the mid-60s when satellites were used.
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Post by olmucky on Jun 21, 2024 7:37:32 GMT -5
We have been tracking hurricanes since the 1850s or so, not very reliable, but a record of the number to a degree. Satellites have been used since the mid 1960s. I know the late 50 and 60s were fairly active and I would guess there were periods before we tracked them that were likely active. Assuming we probably did not count some that formed in the ocean and lasted a few days back in the 50s and 60s, as we do today, some of those years may have been more active than 2020, which is the most active on record. Another issue with the old data is that various record keepers do not agree. If you look up the old years and hurricanes, you will find one source claims one number and another source claims another. So there is no reliable way to know much before the mid-60s when satellites were used. We’re they keeping an eye on TD? Were they naming TS back then? Or just tracking “hurricanes”? There is just no way they kept track of all the activity like we do today. Hence my first statement
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Post by johngalt on Jun 21, 2024 8:12:01 GMT -5
Home Depot and Lowe’s probably has a lot to do with it along with the generator manufacturers and plywood manufacturers? 🤔
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Post by cadman on Jun 21, 2024 8:14:31 GMT -5
We have been tracking hurricanes since the 1850s or so, not very reliable, but a record of the number to a degree. Satellites have been used since the mid 1960s. I know the late 50 and 60s were fairly active and I would guess there were periods before we tracked them that were likely active. Assuming we probably did not count some that formed in the ocean and lasted a few days back in the 50s and 60s, as we do today, some of those years may have been more active than 2020, which is the most active on record. Another issue with the old data is that various record keepers do not agree. If you look up the old years and hurricanes, you will find one source claims one number and another source claims another. So there is no reliable way to know much before the mid-60s when satellites were used. Were they keeping an eye on TD? Were they naming TS back then? Or just tracking “hurricanes”? There is just no way they kept track of all the activity like we do today. Hence my first statement I doubt they tracked every TS before the use of satellites. I assume they relied on planes and ships to spot disturbances and report them. Maybe some buoys were used? I thought I was agreeing with you that tracking was difficult before the use of satellites.
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Post by johngalt on Jun 21, 2024 8:17:43 GMT -5
Were they keeping an eye on TD? Were they naming TS back then? Or just tracking “hurricanes”? There is just no way they kept track of all the activity like we do today. Hence my first statement I doubt they tracked every TS before the use of satellites. I assume they relied on planes and ships to spot disturbances and report them. Maybe some buoys were used? I thought I was agreeing with you that tracking was difficult before the use of satellites. A lot of the old reports and ships logs referred to them as a “Tempest”.
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Post by madm002 on Jun 21, 2024 8:58:01 GMT -5
I suspect if we had access to the way back machine we would find there were periods of more hurricanes and periods of less hurricanes. Personally I am planning against a period of worse and having daughter family and Mom here for extended periods.
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Post by Mango Man on Jun 21, 2024 8:59:00 GMT -5
Every year we hear the same thing. "more active" I'm kinda on the fence. yea it's good to be prepared BUT it seems like they overplay it. It still cracks me up when i see people tape up their windows I went thru a bad one back in '79 so now My plan is to get the fuck out of dodge if something is coming my way. We always keep "supplies" if needed, though I don't have my generator anymore if it looks like a bad one we take off. Like you, I've been through some pretty bad ones, no more. It ain't worth it....
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Post by tampaspicer on Jun 21, 2024 9:15:19 GMT -5
Hurricanes gonna do what hurricanes do. I don't worry anymore or any less about them. Just be prepared and have a plan. If it's predicted to be a Cat 3 or higher I'm out and headed to Atlanta. If the house is still here when we return great. If not we figure it out.
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altuck
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Posts: 162
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Post by altuck on Jun 21, 2024 9:49:31 GMT -5
Lived on the same farm in Eastern Leon County for 77 years. Been through every hurricane that came by. Been without power for a week several times. More damage from the 3 tornadoes on May 10th than anything else. Been cleaning up/ piling and burning downed trees ever since. Got two more months of fence repair to go. I'll take a hurricane anytime.
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Hurricanes
Jun 21, 2024 10:12:34 GMT -5
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Post by olmucky on Jun 21, 2024 10:12:34 GMT -5
Were they keeping an eye on TD? Were they naming TS back then? Or just tracking “hurricanes”? There is just no way they kept track of all the activity like we do today. Hence my first statement I doubt they tracked every TS before the use of satellites. I assume they relied on planes and ships to spot disturbances and report them. Maybe some buoys were used? I thought I was agreeing with you that tracking was difficult before the use of satellites. Yeah. I wasn’t trying to be controversial w my reply. It was just discussionairy data. Take the Aztecs. “These storms my lord Montezuma! They are more than average and keep coming. We have angered Quetzalcoatl! What shall we do?” Monty - “Sacrifice a 1000 more!
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Post by gardawg on Jun 21, 2024 17:39:06 GMT -5
back in the 'old days' the coasts weren't lined with houses 10 feet from the ocean.
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