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Post by biminitwisted on Feb 28, 2024 14:28:52 GMT -5
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Post by biminitwisted on Feb 28, 2024 17:31:58 GMT -5
The hits keep coming.
A New York appellate judge on Wednesday refused to halt collection of Donald Trump's $454 million civil fraud penalty while he appeals, rejecting the former president's request that he be allowed to post a bond covering just a fraction of what he owes.
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Post by biminitwisted on Feb 28, 2024 17:44:05 GMT -5
Trump got a win due to the SCOTUS delaying until late April to even start arguments on his immunity claims.
Part of me hopes he wins his claim so Biden can just send in the drones and solve that pesky SCOTUS and Trump problem in one raid.
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Post by osprey11 on Feb 28, 2024 23:23:47 GMT -5
Cause you know deep down he is gonna smoke Biden in a fair election!
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Post by tonyroma on Feb 28, 2024 23:30:57 GMT -5
Cause you know deep down he is gonna smoke Biden in a fair election! any rational person knows nobody is getting smoked in the 2024 cycle. 6-7 states , 100,000 votes will determine the election for POTUS. The choices are garbage and we are all losers.
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Post by biminitwisted on Feb 28, 2024 23:53:48 GMT -5
Cause you know deep down he is gonna smoke Biden in a fair election! Always the victim.
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Post by cadman on Feb 29, 2024 5:54:35 GMT -5
Cause you know deep down he is gonna smoke Biden in a fair election! any rational person knows nobody is getting smoked in the 2024 cycle. 6-7 states , 100,000 votes will determine the election for POTUS. The choices are garbage and we are all losers. I think it comes down to Wisconsin, Michigan,and Pennsylvania. Biden has to win Pennsylvania and 1 of other two. If Trump wins Penn, I think he is the next President. Arizona is the only other toss up state right now that could matter. All that could change if something happens in Georgia to sway voters, but right now Trump has that state locked up and I doubt he loses Georgia this go around. Biden needs to spend time and money in Wisconsin, Michigan,and Pennsylvania. He really needs to win there. if he wins all three states, he is re-elected. If the election was held today, Trump would win 283 to 255 according to the current polls.
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Post by biminitwisted on Feb 29, 2024 13:51:45 GMT -5
any rational person knows nobody is getting smoked in the 2024 cycle. 6-7 states , 100,000 votes will determine the election for POTUS. The choices are garbage and we are all losers. I think it comes down to Wisconsin, Michigan,and Pennsylvania. Biden has to win Pennsylvania and 1 of other two. If Trump wins Penn, I think he is the next President. Arizona is the only other toss up state right now that could matter. All that could change if something happens in Georgia to sway voters, but right now Trump has that state locked up and I doubt he loses Georgia this go around. Biden needs to spend time and money in Wisconsin, Michigan,and Pennsylvania. He really needs to win there. if he wins all three states, he is re-elected. If the election was held today, Trump would win 283 to 255 according to the current polls. Polls don't mean caca. Look at Trump underperforming in Michigan as an example. Also, Biden overperformed every time. Yes, he easily defeated former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, 68.2% to 26.6%. But pre-election surveys gave Trump an even greater edge of 50 or even 60 percentage points. Michigan marks the fourth consecutive contest in which Trump’s final margin has fallen short of pre-contest polling averages. In Iowa, polling averages projected a 34% margin over the second-place. The actual result? Under 30%. In New Hampshire, an 18-point margin became an 11-point win. In South Carolina, a 28-point margin became a 20-point win.
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Post by osprey11 on Mar 3, 2024 10:56:30 GMT -5
Winning!
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Post by cadman on Mar 3, 2024 11:48:47 GMT -5
I think it comes down to Wisconsin, Michigan,and Pennsylvania. Biden has to win Pennsylvania and 1 of other two. If Trump wins Penn, I think he is the next President. Arizona is the only other toss up state right now that could matter. All that could change if something happens in Georgia to sway voters, but right now Trump has that state locked up and I doubt he loses Georgia this go around. Biden needs to spend time and money in Wisconsin, Michigan,and Pennsylvania. He really needs to win there. if he wins all three states, he is re-elected. If the election was held today, Trump would win 283 to 255 according to the current polls. Polls don't mean caca. Look at Trump underperforming in Michigan as an example. Also, Biden overperformed every time. Yes, he easily defeated former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, 68.2% to 26.6%. But pre-election surveys gave Trump an even greater edge of 50 or even 60 percentage points. Michigan marks the fourth consecutive contest in which Trump’s final margin has fallen short of pre-contest polling averages. In Iowa, polling averages projected a 34% margin over the second-place. The actual result? Under 30%. In New Hampshire, an 18-point margin became an 11-point win. In South Carolina, a 28-point margin became a 20-point win.I use Real Clear polling Iowa Real Clear avg 33.7, actual 29.7, off 4 points, within the margin of error South Carolina Real Clear avg 23.3, actual 20.3, off 3 points, within margin of error New Hampshire Real Clear avg 19.3, actual 11.3, this was off by 8 points as your source claims. Michigan Real Clear avg 50.7, actual 41.6, this was off by 9.1 points. now part of the reason Trump's wins were less than polling is due to the fact that several polls in the average were older polls and DeSantis was still included and Haley's numbers were lower. In Michigan, as an example, Haley went up 7 points in the last month and 11 points in the last 3 months. The older polling threw the averages off. That is not an issue when looking at the general election. Also, it does not appear Trump converted as many DeSantis voters as polling indicated. My theory is DeSantis supporters did not vote in the primary even if they indicated Trump over Haley in a poll. But there is still 8 months to the election and a lot can happen, so polling is immaterial right now. The numbers will vary wildly until September and then start moving toward the final results. But right now, today, Trump has the edge. It will be interesting to see how this changes in the next 8 months. I think the debates will shape a lot of voter opinions, if we have debates. I doubt Trump or Biden really wants to debate. One of them might find an excuse to refuse to debate.
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Post by biminitwisted on Mar 3, 2024 13:24:25 GMT -5
Polls don't mean caca. Look at Trump underperforming in Michigan as an example. Also, Biden overperformed every time. Yes, he easily defeated former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, 68.2% to 26.6%. But pre-election surveys gave Trump an even greater edge of 50 or even 60 percentage points. Michigan marks the fourth consecutive contest in which Trump’s final margin has fallen short of pre-contest polling averages. In Iowa, polling averages projected a 34% margin over the second-place. The actual result? Under 30%. In New Hampshire, an 18-point margin became an 11-point win. In South Carolina, a 28-point margin became a 20-point win.I use Real Clear polling Iowa Real Clear avg 33.7, actual 29.7, off 4 points, within the margin of error South Carolina Real Clear avg 23.3, actual 20.3, off 3 points, within margin of error New Hampshire Real Clear avg 19.3, actual 11.3, this was off by 8 points as your source claims. Michigan Real Clear avg 50.7, actual 41.6, this was off by 9.1 points. now part of the reason Trump's wins were less than polling is due to the fact that several polls in the average were older polls and DeSantis was still included and Haley's numbers were lower. In Michigan, as an example, Haley went up 7 points in the last month and 11 points in the last 3 months. The older polling threw the averages off. That is not an issue when looking at the general election. Also, it does not appear Trump converted as many DeSantis voters as polling indicated. My theory is DeSantis supporters did not vote in the primary even if they indicated Trump over Haley in a poll. But there is still 8 months to the election and a lot can happen, so polling is immaterial right now. The numbers will vary wildly until September and then start moving toward the final results. But right now, today, Trump has the edge. It will be interesting to see how this changes in the next 8 months. I think the debates will shape a lot of voter opinions, if we have debates. I doubt Trump or Biden really wants to debate. One of them might find an excuse to refuse to debate. Most voters aren't paying attention yet, and I think the abortion issue is going to affect the presidential race. These polls tend to be binary, when the reality is much more complex and nuanced.
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Post by walkerdog on Mar 3, 2024 14:28:17 GMT -5
Certainly the party of racists... democrats believe Blacks cant make it without their help... Dats Racist. Certainly the party of white supremacists.... otherwise there wouldnt be so much democrat white guilt... as they prostrate themselves on the alter of racism.
Retributions? For the blacks whose slave ancestors built the fortunes of Americas wealthy whites. Yeah, we all know the maga traitors are all for giving the slave decedents a piece of the American Pie they created.
Right wingers like trump hate blacks so they think they can exclude them from their businesses. Well, they gotta another think coming.
Donald Trump’s long history of racism, from the 1970s to 2020 Trump has repeatedly claimed he’s “the least racist person.” His history suggests otherwise.https://www.vox.com/2016/7/25/12270880/donald-trump-racist-racism-history
You need to research history a little more thoroughly before you leave your glass house to cast your stones!🤣
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Post by olmucky on Mar 3, 2024 14:33:27 GMT -5
Vox? Vox is wiki, snopes and the dnc on steroids.
Lol
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Post by biminitwisted on Mar 3, 2024 14:38:02 GMT -5
Vox? Vox is wiki, snopes and the dnc on steroids. Lol At least it isn't the Epoch Times, The Dailey Caller, or the much favorited Daily Stormer.
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Post by walkerdog on Mar 3, 2024 14:40:02 GMT -5
It’s pretty much the same. Just a different bent.
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